Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.124422 3.486957 3.879290 4.336178 4.854578 5.425585 6.103652
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.613005 3.098537 3.660956 4.363493 5.221583 6.240647 7.550049
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.285977 2.835564 3.505380 4.387757 5.528342 6.964813 8.929617
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.048979 2.635426 3.380196 4.404970 5.793251 7.629813 10.278766
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.822281 2.415055 3.193999 4.305570 5.872310 8.033756 11.297342
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.665659 2.267044 3.081761 4.283147 6.038480 8.554886 12.518692
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.529029 2.130931 2.968828 4.241358 6.162154 9.013921 13.684497
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.473375 2.102022 3.001096 4.407363 6.600707 9.974845 15.725724
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.378992 2.007571 2.927828 4.404685 6.775316 10.538486 17.184524
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.288195 1.910395 2.841067 4.370443 6.891728 11.013074 18.539215
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.159797 1.746185 2.638846 4.134663 6.655669 10.878338 18.808768
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.099857 1.683652 2.589724 4.141117 6.820705 11.432988 20.372576
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.062329 1.655376 2.595131 4.242101 7.163509 12.343903 22.738953
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.012925 1.604365 2.559670 4.270350 7.380830 13.052238 24.810879
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.967109 1.555782 2.524126 4.294341 7.590791 13.765705 26.983619
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.923996 1.508530 2.486922 4.311202 7.787160 14.470469 29.228378
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.865387 1.430896 2.391733 4.214190 7.756633 14.724894 30.538661
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.823898 1.380105 2.339762 4.192304 7.868227 15.272359 32.562457
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.782762 1.327303 2.280519 4.151512 7.937423 15.737375 34.458502
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.774210 1.331919 2.325088 4.313552 8.432548 17.152656 38.789758
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.742996 1.293455 2.287632 4.310938 8.584245 17.838216 41.448940
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.709843 1.249441 2.236896 4.277515 8.666684 18.376839 43.815787
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.653835 1.159875 2.094590 4.047355 8.302542 17.861447 43.385659